Monday, November 08, 2004

Monday Morning Bloggin'

Ahh, another Monday morning. Time for some blogging. Today’s entry is really just a few comments about The Incredibles opening and the continued pouring in of companies trying to make CG films.

The weekend is over and The Incredibles is estimated to have brought in a little over $70 million. Boy was my prediction off. I didn’t have a good feel for this movies potential and my gut instinct was about $14 million short. Although it did not do near Shrek 2, it is slightly ahead of Pixar’s highest opening weekend (Finding Nemo).

After being in San Fran for a good part of last week, I’ve traveled back down to LA for a few meetings at the American Film Market in Santa Monica. This is a chance for people in the film industry to make deals and schmooze. I will be accompanying a few producers who are trying to get distribution for their projects, I will be fielding technical and creative questions from the people on the other side of the table. A nice chance to see what is going on and who is preparing to do what. After a day at the market, I’ve noticed that the swell of people trying to enter the CG animation film industry has not ended. There are more and more people trying to play the game. In addition, a couple of them are very well funded from big companies any casual film viewer would be familiar with. It excites me and scares me at the same time. Right now, it excites me, but things are bound to implode within 8 years. It could get quite nasty.

3 comments:

Chad said...

So what happens after the implosion? It is inevitable that some of these CG features bomb at the box office, I am curoius about what you forsee as the "quite nasty" and "implode" part.

Thanks,
Chad

Anonymous said...

I wonder how many people will view Shrek 2 as the "Lion King" of3D. With the relative sucess of both Incredibles and SharkTale, it doesn't seem like an implosion just yet, but I do think the influx of CG will create a situation of diminshing returns. SharkTale, Polar Express, and SpongeBob are siphoning a chunk off of the Incredibles potential box office, and when there are 6-8 CG films a year, rather than 3 or four, I think the differences will be even more drastic. Next year sees Robots, Chicken Little, Madagascar, and Cars, along with Howl's Moving Castle, Steamboy, and I'm sure a bunch of Disney direct-to-video castoffs. That's a lot of potentially good animated films fighting with each other for space.

-willryan

Electroglodyte said...

Is it possible that the implosion for features results in manpower being used for animation series, and gradually pushing 2D out, or marginalizing it?

2D has certain fixed costs that can only be reduced so far - and have been reduced as far as possible, with the possible exception of always finding the next cheaper country in the Far East or elsewhere.

3D, however, still has some ways to go with a continuing trend of technology becoming cheaper and more advanced.

It is also possible, IMO, that this trend can eventually result in small studios surviving in the country of the project's origination (US or Europe), without the need for big factory work abroad.

Staloren, what do you think?